Serie A round 16

Empoli vs Torino analysis

Empoli Torino
87 ELO 91
-9.7% Tilt -11%
62º General ELO ranking 31º
14º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Empoli
27.5%
Draw
36.7%
Torino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Empoli
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.7%
Win probability
Torino
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Empoli
-2%
-6%
Torino

Points and table prediction

Empoli
Their league position
Torino
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
18º
14º
27
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
51
87
72%
Napoli
54
84
56%
Atalanta
47
79
59.5%
Lazio
42
69
31%
Juventus
40
68
29%
Milan
35
68
22%
Fiorentina
39
64
36.5%
Bologna
37
59
33.5%
Roma
31
55
43.5%
Udinese
10º
29
47
10º
29.5%
Torino
11º
27
46
11º
25.5%
Genoa
12º
26
42
12º
19.5%
Hellas Verona
13º
23
38
13º
18%
Empoli
16º
21
37
14º
16%
Cagliari
17º
21
36
15º
18.5%
Como
15º
22
35
16º
13.5%
Lecce
14º
23
35
17º
15.5%
Parma
18º
20
32
18º
17.5%
AC Monza
20º
13
28
19º
26%
Venezia
19º
16
28
20º
35%
Expected probabilities
Empoli
Torino
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 100%
Relegation
18% 0%

ELO progression

Empoli
Torino
Genoa
Udinese
Bologna
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Empoli
Empoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 4
Empoli
EMP
47%
25%
28%
87 85 2 0
04 Dec. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Empoli
EMP
79%
14%
7%
87 94 7 0
30 Nov. 2024
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
Empoli
EMP
79%
15%
6%
87 96 9 0
25 Nov. 2024
EMP
Empoli
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
40%
27%
33%
87 88 1 0
08 Nov. 2024
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli
EMP
43%
26%
31%
87 84 3 0

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
41%
26%
33%
91 88 3 0
01 Dec. 2024
TOR
Torino
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
20%
25%
55%
90 97 7 +1
24 Nov. 2024
TOR
Torino
1 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
52%
26%
22%
90 87 3 0
09 Nov. 2024
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Torino
TOR
68%
21%
11%
90 98 8 0
03 Nov. 2024
TOR
Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
29%
26%
45%
90 93 3 0