Empoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 3
EMP
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
EMP
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
EMP
1 - 1
PIS
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CTT
2 - 1
EMP
22%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
EMP
1 - 0
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
CRO
3 - 4
VIC
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
CTT
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BAR
0 - 2
CRO
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 0
CRO
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CRO
4 - 2
CAG
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |