Empoli vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
MES
0 - 3
EMP
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 0
INT
16%
25%
60%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
EMP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
SIE
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 4
LAZ
25%
27%
49%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 2
ASC
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ASC
2 - 2
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
REG
2 - 0
ASC
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 2
INT
14%
24%
62%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |