Emérita Augusta vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SFO
0 - 3
EME
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EME
3 - 2
CFS
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CDZ
2 - 1
EME
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
EME
3 - 0
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
EME
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
CAL
31%
25%
43%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 1
SFO
59%
22%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CFS
2 - 3
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDZ
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |