CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
EME
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EME
0 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 0
EME
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
PAL
7 - 0
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |