Tercera Division XIV - Extremadura Jor. 7

EMD Aceuchal vs Castuera analysis

EMD Aceuchal Castuera
22 ELO 18
-11.7% Tilt -2.6%
15069º General ELO ranking 9464º
2928º Country ELO ranking 397º
ELO win probability
64.1%
EMD Aceuchal
20.2%
Draw
15.7%
Castuera

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
EMD Aceuchal
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
Castuera
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EMD Aceuchal
+8%
+44%
Castuera

ELO progression

EMD Aceuchal
Castuera
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EMD Aceuchal
EMD Aceuchal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2018
JER
Jerez
1 - 1
EMD Aceuchal
EMD
53%
23%
25%
23 24 1 0
23 Sep. 2018
EMD
EMD Aceuchal
1 - 2
AD Llerenense
ADL
67%
19%
14%
23 16 7 0
16 Sep. 2018
CDD
CD Diocesano
1 - 2
EMD Aceuchal
EMD
35%
24%
41%
23 19 4 0
09 Sep. 2018
EMD
EMD Aceuchal
2 - 0
Valdelacalzada
VAL
80%
14%
6%
22 13 9 +1
02 Sep. 2018
EXT
Extremadura B
1 - 2
EMD Aceuchal
EMD
34%
22%
43%
23 19 4 -1

Matches

Castuera
Castuera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2018
CAS
Castuera
0 - 3
AD Mérida
MAD
11%
21%
68%
19 45 26 0
23 Sep. 2018
COR
CD Coria
2 - 0
Castuera
CAS
76%
16%
9%
19 32 13 0
16 Sep. 2018
CAS
Castuera
1 - 1
UD Montijo
MON
66%
19%
15%
19 15 4 0
08 Sep. 2018
CPC
CP Cacereño
2 - 1
Castuera
CAS
76%
17%
8%
20 36 16 -1
02 Sep. 2018
CAS
Castuera
0 - 0
CD Azuaga
AZU
34%
25%
41%
20 25 5 0
X