Embid vs Sabiñan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+547%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
EMB
87%
9%
5%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EMB
1 - 5
PAR
9%
15%
77%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CER
5 - 0
EMB
75%
15%
10%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EMB
1 - 2
AZU
17%
19%
65%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TER
4 - 0
EMB
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sabiñan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
AGR
8%
15%
77%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
SAB
31%
20%
50%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 0
DAR
50%
20%
30%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ANI
6 - 4
SAB
72%
15%
13%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 4
TER
20%
19%
61%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |