1st League round 9

Celik Zenica vs TOSK Tesanj analysis

Celik Zenica TOSK Tesanj
56 ELO 43
-13.3% Tilt 2.4%
2849º General ELO ranking 4774º
19º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
66.9%
Celik Zenica
21.2%
Draw
11.9%
TOSK Tesanj

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
Celik Zenica
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Win probability
TOSK Tesanj
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celik Zenica
-8%
-4%
TOSK Tesanj

Points and table prediction

Celik Zenica
Their league position
TOSK Tesanj
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
36
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sloboda Tuzla
69
69
100%
Stupcanica Olovo
62
62
100%
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
52
52
100%
Celik Zenica
46
46
100%
Tomislav
45
45
0%
FK Gornji Rahic
45
45
0%
Goražde
43
43
100%
Zvijezda
10º
38
41
100%
Vis Simm-Bau
40
40
100%
Buducnost Banovici
39
39
10º
100%
Radnik Hadžići
11º
37
37
11º
100%
TOSK Tesanj
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Gradina Srebrenik
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Jedinstvo Bihac
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Rudar Kakanj
15º
30
30
15º
100%
NK Mladost Doboj Kakanj
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Celik Zenica
TOSK Tesanj
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Celik Zenica
TOSK Tesanj
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celik Zenica
Celik Zenica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
BRA
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
2 - 2
Celik Zenica
ČEL
14%
22%
64%
56 34 22 0
24 Sep. 2023
ČEL
Celik Zenica
2 - 2
Tomislav
TMS
60%
23%
17%
56 45 11 0
16 Sep. 2023
RUD
Rudar Kakanj
2 - 2
Celik Zenica
ČEL
16%
23%
62%
57 39 18 -1
10 Sep. 2023
GOR
FK Gornji Rahic
3 - 1
Celik Zenica
ČEL
9%
17%
74%
57 12 45 0
02 Sep. 2023
ČEL
Celik Zenica
2 - 0
Goražde
GOR
63%
23%
14%
56 46 10 +1

Matches

TOSK Tesanj
TOSK Tesanj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
4 - 0
FK Gornji Rahic
GOR
80%
13%
7%
43 19 24 0
27 Sep. 2023
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
0 - 1
Igman Konjic
IGM
13%
19%
68%
43 58 15 0
24 Sep. 2023
GOR
Goražde
2 - 1
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
52%
24%
24%
44 46 2 -1
17 Sep. 2023
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
0 - 2
NK Mladost Doboj Kakanj
MLA
67%
20%
13%
45 34 11 -1
09 Sep. 2023
RAD
Radnik Hadžići
1 - 0
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
19%
24%
57%
46 36 10 -1