Scottish League Two round 28

Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis

Elgin City Berwick Rangers
48 ELO 49
29.4% Tilt 12.1%
5002º General ELO ranking 6656º
55º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Elgin City
22.6%
Draw
26.1%
Berwick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
Elgin City
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Elgin City
+39%
-42%
Berwick Rangers

ELO progression

Elgin City
Berwick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Elgin City
Elgin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2015
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 3
Elgin City
ELG
56%
24%
20%
46 54 8 0
21 Mar. 2015
CLY
Clyde
0 - 2
Elgin City
ELG
46%
24%
30%
45 45 0 +1
17 Mar. 2015
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
58%
21%
22%
46 45 1 -1
14 Mar. 2015
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
51%
23%
27%
46 50 4 0
10 Mar. 2015
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 0
Clyde
CLY
55%
22%
23%
45 47 2 +1

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2015
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
53%
24%
23%
49 49 0 0
24 Mar. 2015
EAS
East Fife
1 - 4
Berwick Rangers
BER
47%
24%
29%
48 47 1 +1
21 Mar. 2015
MON
Montrose
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
28%
24%
49%
47 36 11 +1
14 Mar. 2015
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 2
Annan Athletic
BLA
46%
25%
29%
47 50 3 0
08 Mar. 2015
HIB
Hibernian FC
4 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
77%
15%
8%
48 66 18 -1