Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 3
ELG
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CLY
0 - 2
ELG
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 2
THE
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 2
QUE
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
ELG
2 - 0
CLY
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
QUE
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 4
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
BER
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HIB
4 - 0
BER
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |