Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 0
ELC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
VEC
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 2
ELC
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
SLA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
PON
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 4
VAD
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 1
POL
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |