Elche vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
UDL
0 - 1
ELC
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1991 |
ELC
2 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
ELC
1 - 3
RAY
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1991 |
ELC
2 - 1
MHN
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ELC
1 - 1
SSC
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ATH
2 - 1
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
LEV
1 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ATH
1 - 0
LLE
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
ATH
1 - 1
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |