San Antonio vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
10º
10º
20
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 55 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 52 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 49 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 38 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 37 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
67% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ESA
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
CSV
30%
30%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
CLN
0 - 1
ESA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |