El Gancho vs Nicaragua SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
39%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Gancho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
AJE
1 - 2
GAN
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 2
FID
53%
20%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDJ
7 - 1
GAN
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 1
GAN
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 3
RFA
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 6
SDJ
55%
19%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FUE
4 - 1
NIC
24%
18%
58%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ULV
4 - 0
NIC
20%
17%
62%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 3
NIC
9%
12%
79%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NIC
4 - 2
USJ
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |