Eirense vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COV
1 - 2
EIR
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EIR
2 - 1
ARG
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAM
3 - 0
EIR
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 49 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 3
PAM
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 0
TOC
11%
19%
70%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 0
CES
30%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 0
TOC
63%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |