Eibar vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SLA
0 - 0
EIB
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
EIB
1 - 1
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CUL
1 - 1
EIB
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
EIB
6 - 1
SAB
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
EIB
2 - 1
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALA
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ZAR
5 - 3
SDE
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ZAR
8 - 1
RCF
79%
12%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAU
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ZAR
3 - 1
GIM
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |