Eibar vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
2 - 0
EIB
31%
32%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
EIB
0 - 1
ALM
48%
29%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 0
EIB
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
EIB
1 - 1
MAL
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
REC
0 - 0
EIB
58%
26%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
VAD
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CIU
0 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |