J3 League round 2

Ehime vs Parceiro Nagano analysis

Ehime Parceiro Nagano
54 ELO 57
5.2% Tilt -2.8%
ELO win probability
40.1%
Ehime
27.5%
Draw
32.4%
Parceiro Nagano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Ehime
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.4%
Win probability
Parceiro Nagano
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ehime
-19%
-32%
Parceiro Nagano

Points and table prediction

Ehime
Their league position
Parceiro Nagano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
20º
50
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ehime
Parceiro Nagano
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ehime
Parceiro Nagano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ehime
Ehime
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
EHI
Ehime
1 - 5
Grulla Morioka
GRU
59%
23%
19%
55 48 7 0
20 Nov. 2022
FUK
Fukushima United
0 - 3
Ehime
EHI
39%
26%
35%
54 51 3 +1
12 Nov. 2022
EHI
Ehime
1 - 1
Azul Claro Numazu
AZU
66%
21%
13%
54 45 9 0
06 Nov. 2022
EHI
Ehime
1 - 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
KAM
66%
21%
13%
54 45 9 0
30 Oct. 2022
KAG
Kagoshima United
0 - 1
Ehime
EHI
59%
22%
18%
53 58 5 +1

Matches

Parceiro Nagano
Parceiro Nagano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 - 2
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
50%
26%
24%
56 56 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
PAR
Parceiro Nagano
0 - 0
Fujieda MYFC
FUJ
26%
27%
48%
55 61 6 +1
13 Nov. 2022
FCI
Imabari
3 - 3
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
53%
26%
21%
55 60 5 0
06 Nov. 2022
PAR
Parceiro Nagano
1 - 2
Gainare Tottori
GAI
43%
26%
31%
56 51 5 -1
30 Oct. 2022
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 1
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
47%
28%
25%
56 59 3 0