Olympic Games Quarter-finals

Egypt U23 vs Paraguay U23 analysis

Egypt U23 Paraguay U23
61 ELO 55
-7.6% Tilt -1.9%
2505º General ELO ranking 2694º
24º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Egypt U23
23.5%
Draw
23.3%
Paraguay U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Egypt U23
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
Paraguay U23
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt U23
+8%
-17%
Paraguay U23

ELO progression

Egypt U23
Paraguay U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt U23
Egypt U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2024
ESP
Spain U23
1 - 2
Egypt U23
EGY
50%
24%
26%
60 63 3 0
27 Jul. 2024
UZB
Uzbekistan U23
0 - 1
Egypt U23
EGY
37%
25%
38%
59 56 3 +1
24 Jul. 2024
EGY
Egypt U23
0 - 0
Dominican Republic U23
RDO
71%
18%
11%
60 44 16 -1
17 Jul. 2024
EGY
Egypt U23
2 - 1
Iraq U23
IRQ
32%
23%
45%
59 61 2 +1
14 Jul. 2024
UKR
Ukraine U23
1 - 1
Egypt U23
EGY
9%
15%
77%
59 6 53 0

Matches

Paraguay U23
Paraguay U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2024
PAR
Paraguay U23
1 - 0
Mali U23
MLI
83%
12%
5%
55 27 28 0
27 Jul. 2024
ISR
Israel U23
2 - 4
Paraguay U23
PAR
5%
15%
80%
55 7 48 0
24 Jul. 2024
JPN
Japan U23
5 - 0
Paraguay U23
PAR
67%
19%
14%
56 69 13 -1
18 Jul. 2024
UKR
Ukraine U23
2 - 2
Paraguay U23
PAR
9%
15%
77%
56 7 49 0
13 Jul. 2024
USA
USA U23
1 - 0
Paraguay U23
PAR
36%
23%
41%
57 57 0 -1