AFC Edinburgh University vs Vale of Leithen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EDI
1 - 0
AFC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 4
DAL
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
SPA
14%
20%
67%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
STI
2 - 1
AFC
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 3
WHI
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
GRE
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 3
VAL
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |