Second Division round 34

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts analysis

Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts
50 ELO 50
4% Tilt -1.1%
4298º General ELO ranking 3325º
50º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
42.2%
Edinburgh City
25.4%
Draw
32.4%
Kelty Hearts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
Edinburgh City
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
Kelty Hearts
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

ELO47.850.152.454.75759.361.663.966.168.470.77375.377.679.982.2-28.1%-19.2%-10.3%-1.4%7.5%16.4%25.3%34.2%43.1%52%61%69.9%78.8%87.7%96.6%105.5%114.4%123.3%132.2%141.1%
← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Edinburgh City
+139%
-26%
Kelty Hearts

Points and table prediction

Edinburgh City
Their league position
Kelty Hearts
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
40
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
159131721252933
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dunfermline Athletic FC
79
79
100%
Falkirk
64
65
100%
Airdrieonians
57
58
47.5%
Alloa Athletic
58
58
47.5%
Edinburgh City
51
52
41.5%
Queen of the South
51
52
34%
Montrose
48
51
63.5%
Kelty Hearts
40
41
100%
Clyde
21
21
100%
Peterhead
10º
16
17
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

49º51º53º55º57º59ºMay .22Sep .22Dec .22Mar .23
Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Edinburgh City
EDI
66%
20%
13%
49 60 11 0
15 Apr. 2023
CLY
Clyde
2 - 1
Edinburgh City
EDI
23%
24%
54%
50 39 11 -1
08 Apr. 2023
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
12%
21%
68%
50 34 16 0
01 Apr. 2023
EDI
Edinburgh City
1 - 1
Montrose
MON
42%
26%
33%
50 51 1 0
24 Mar. 2023
EDI
Edinburgh City
1 - 3
Queen of the South
QOS
39%
25%
36%
51 52 1 -1

Matches

Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
KHE
Kelty Hearts
0 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
39%
26%
35%
51 52 1 0
08 Apr. 2023
KHE
Kelty Hearts
0 - 0
Clyde
CLY
76%
16%
8%
51 38 13 0
01 Apr. 2023
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Kelty Hearts
KHE
66%
21%
13%
51 64 13 0
24 Mar. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Kelty Hearts
KHE
60%
22%
18%
51 60 9 0
18 Mar. 2023
KHE
Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
Montrose
MON
43%
26%
31%
51 51 0 0