ECUS vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OSA
2 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 2
MFC
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAB
3 - 0
ECU
65%
20%
15%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MAU
0 - 2
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAU
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAU
1 - 3
JAB
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAU
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |