Sudamericano U20 round 4

Ecuador U20 vs Peru U20 analysis

Ecuador U20 Peru U20
57 ELO 49
-1.4% Tilt 0.6%
2447º General ELO ranking 3132º
27º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
58.6%
Ecuador U20
21.7%
Draw
19.7%
Peru U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
Peru U20
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador U20
-23%
-7%
Peru U20

ELO progression

Ecuador U20
Peru U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2013
URU
Uruguay U20
2 - 2
Ecuador U20
ECU
73%
17%
11%
56 74 18 0
13 Jan. 2013
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 1
Venezuela U20
VEN
60%
21%
19%
57 50 7 -1
11 Jan. 2013
BRA
Brazil U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
83%
12%
5%
56 85 29 +1
20 Aug. 2012
KOR
South Korea U20
2 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
54%
22%
24%
57 61 4 -1
18 Aug. 2012
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 0
Turkey U20
TUR
54%
22%
24%
57 54 3 0

Matches

Peru U20
Peru U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2013
PER
Peru U20
1 - 0
Venezuela U20
VEN
36%
25%
39%
49 51 2 0
11 Jan. 2013
URU
Uruguay U20
3 - 3
Peru U20
PER
81%
13%
6%
49 73 24 0
14 Dec. 2012
PER
Peru U20
4 - 0
El Salvador U20
SLV
47%
24%
29%
47 47 0 +2
09 Oct. 2012
URU
Uruguay U20
0 - 0
Peru U20
PER
78%
15%
7%
47 74 27 0
25 Aug. 2012
PER
Peru U20
1 - 1
Venezuela U20
VEN
39%
25%
36%
47 50 3 0