Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
ECU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
ECU
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 3
KOR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ECU
9 - 0
FIJ
89%
9%
2%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
COL
3 - 2
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |