XV de Novembro vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 0
ECN
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
3 - 1
LEM
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
OSV
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 3
PEN
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |