XV de Novembro vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
ECN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
BAT
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
ECN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 1
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |