Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-8
EC São José vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 1
ECS
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VER
2 - 5
ECS
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 1
SLU
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
ARN
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GOI
3 - 0
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOI
13%
20%
68%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
GOI
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |