Bahía vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
3 - 2
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
FLU
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 7
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COT
3 - 2
BAH
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 2
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
PPE
0 - 2
GOI
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
COR
3 - 0
PPE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 3
PPE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |