Bahía vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 1
BAH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAH
6 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
MOG
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
MOG
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |