Bahía vs Ipitanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 0
CRB
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 0
BAH
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ipitanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
IPI
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
IPI
2 - 1
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALA
3 - 1
IPI
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
IPI
2 - 3
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CFC
2 - 3
IPI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |