EC Avenida vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 3
ECS
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SLU
1 - 0
ECA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
3 - 0
ECA
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
YPI
2 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
4 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |