EC Avenida vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
51.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 3
ECS
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
4 - 1
ECA
41%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 1
SCI
11%
21%
69%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
67%
22%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
COR
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |