Scottish League Two round 1

East Stirlingshire vs Montrose analysis

East Stirlingshire Montrose
42 ELO 41
13.4% Tilt -0.7%
8093º General ELO ranking 3155º
78º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
53.7%
East Stirlingshire
22.8%
Draw
23.5%
Montrose

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
East Stirlingshire
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
Montrose
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
East Stirlingshire
+21%
-7%
Montrose

ELO progression

East Stirlingshire
Montrose
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

East Stirlingshire
East Stirlingshire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2011
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
22%
22%
57%
41 58 17 0
24 Jul. 2011
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
63%
20%
17%
42 49 7 -1
07 May. 2011
THE
East Stirlingshire
2 - 0
Annan Athletic
BLA
27%
25%
48%
39 52 13 +3
30 Apr. 2011
MON
Montrose
3 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
53%
24%
24%
41 42 1 -2
23 Apr. 2011
THE
East Stirlingshire
2 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
43%
24%
33%
40 44 4 +1

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2011
MON
Montrose
1 - 4
Raith Rovers
RAI
23%
24%
53%
41 59 18 0
23 Jul. 2011
MON
Montrose
1 - 6
East Fife
EAS
23%
22%
55%
42 55 13 -1
07 May. 2011
QUE
Queen's Park
4 - 1
Montrose
MON
67%
20%
13%
43 52 9 -1
30 Apr. 2011
MON
Montrose
3 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
53%
24%
24%
42 41 1 +1
23 Apr. 2011
ARB
Arbroath
4 - 1
Montrose
MON
72%
18%
10%
42 54 12 0