East Stirlingshire vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
18º
10º
11
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 78 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 72 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 65 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 64 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 52 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 39 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
|
17º
|
11 | 26 |
18º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
THE
2 - 3
LOC
51%
20%
28%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
THE
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THE
2 - 3
BER
41%
22%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
THE
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THE
2 - 2
STI
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 3
CIV
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 1
STI
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 4
CUM
15%
18%
68%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 3
CUM
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 0
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |