Lowland League round 14

East Stirlingshire vs Broomhill FC analysis

East Stirlingshire Broomhill FC
24 ELO 38
-0.8% Tilt 6.2%
8041º General ELO ranking 7968º
77º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
21.4%
East Stirlingshire
19.7%
Draw
58.9%
Broomhill FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
East Stirlingshire
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
58.9%
Win probability
Broomhill FC
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
East Stirlingshire
+24%
+9%
Broomhill FC

Points and table prediction

East Stirlingshire
Their league position
Broomhill FC
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
16º
14º
39
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
East Stirlingshire
Broomhill FC
100% 100%

ELO progression

East Stirlingshire
Broomhill FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

East Stirlingshire
East Stirlingshire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2023
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 3
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
19%
21%
60%
26 39 13 0
06 Oct. 2023
CFC
Celtic II
1 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
79%
13%
8%
24 47 23 +2
29 Sep. 2023
THE
East Stirlingshire
1 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
15%
18%
67%
23 41 18 +1
23 Sep. 2023
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 1
Huntly
HUN
26%
23%
51%
24 32 8 -1
09 Sep. 2023
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 3
East Stirlingshire
THE
6%
12%
83%
24 7 17 0

Matches

Broomhill FC
Broomhill FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
0 - 3
Broomhill FC
BFC
50%
23%
27%
36 39 3 0
30 Sep. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
3 - 0
Broomhill FC
BFC
45%
21%
34%
37 35 2 -1
24 Sep. 2023
BFC
Broomhill FC
3 - 1
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
33%
23%
44%
36 39 3 +1
09 Sep. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
3 - 2
Broomhill FC
BFC
56%
22%
22%
36 41 5 0
05 Sep. 2023
BFC
Broomhill FC
4 - 2
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
34%
24%
42%
35 39 4 +1