East Fife vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STE
0 - 2
EAS
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIV
4 - 3
EAS
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 4
LIV
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
6 - 0
EAS
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 1
AIR
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 3
DUM
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUM
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
BRE
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
FOR
36%
26%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |