East End Lions vs Old Edwardians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
7º
3º
40
5º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 61 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 42 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
54% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East End Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FCJ
0 - 0
EAS
30%
31%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
EET
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
MIG
1 - 1
EAS
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 0
DIA
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
KAM
0 - 0
EAS
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Old Edwardians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 1
LUA
74%
19%
7%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 0
LAM
74%
19%
7%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
EET
0 - 2
OLD
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 0
WSB
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
DIA
1 - 0
OLD
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |