Durango vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
DUR
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 0
ORI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 2
DUR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 2
DUR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
GUE
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VER
4 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UDG
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |