Série C round 3

Duque de Caxias vs EC Juventude analysis

Duque de Caxias EC Juventude
50 ELO 56
3.2% Tilt -5.9%
4870º General ELO ranking 211º
171º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Duque de Caxias
26.3%
Draw
31.3%
EC Juventude

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
Duque de Caxias
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.3%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Duque de Caxias
+7%
+3%
EC Juventude

ELO progression

Duque de Caxias
EC Juventude
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Duque de Caxias
Duque de Caxias
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
1 - 2
Mogi Mirim
MOG
23%
27%
50%
51 65 14 0
26 Apr. 2014
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
51 54 3 0
17 Apr. 2014
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 2
Caldense
CAL
45%
26%
29%
50 53 3 +1
03 Apr. 2014
CAL
Caldense
2 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
44%
26%
29%
51 52 1 -1
23 Mar. 2014
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
84%
12%
4%
52 79 27 -1

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2014
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 0
Tupi
TUP
54%
25%
22%
55 53 2 0
26 Apr. 2014
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
57%
24%
19%
53 58 5 +2
23 Mar. 2014
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
79%
16%
5%
53 83 30 0
16 Mar. 2014
AIM
Aimoré
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
27%
26%
47%
53 44 9 0
12 Mar. 2014
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 1
Lajeadense
LAJ
55%
25%
21%
53 50 3 0