Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
LOU
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 4
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
DUN
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
11%
21%
69%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BAL
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
ARD
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |