Scottish Premiership round 17

Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Kilmarnock analysis

Dunfermline Athletic FC Kilmarnock
65 ELO 72
-6.9% Tilt 4.5%
1914º General ELO ranking 547º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC
26.8%
Draw
37%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dunfermline Athletic FC
-16%
-13%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2005
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
76%
16%
9%
65 81 16 0
19 Nov. 2005
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 1
Livingston
LIV
48%
26%
26%
65 65 0 0
08 Nov. 2005
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
25%
24%
51%
63 77 14 +2
05 Nov. 2005
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
60%
22%
18%
63 71 8 0
29 Oct. 2005
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
33%
27%
40%
64 72 8 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2005
LIV
Livingston
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
38%
26%
36%
71 65 6 0
19 Nov. 2005
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Inverness CT
ICT
52%
24%
24%
71 71 0 0
05 Nov. 2005
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
56%
23%
21%
71 73 2 0
29 Oct. 2005
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
46%
26%
28%
70 74 4 +1
26 Oct. 2005
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
64%
22%
15%
70 81 11 0