Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
6º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
DUN
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 3
QUE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 5
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
4 - 3
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
RAI
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 3
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |