Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAI
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ICT
2 - 0
DUN
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 2
ICT
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 1
HAM
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
AYR
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 3
KIL
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |