Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
ABE
3 - 0
DUN
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
20%
20%
60%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1934 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1934 |
CLY
2 - 1
DUN
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
AYR
1 - 1
QOS
57%
20%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
KIL
6 - 3
AYR
57%
19%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALB
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1934 |
AYR
3 - 2
PAR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1934 |
HAM
3 - 2
AYR
56%
19%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |