Düneberger SV vs Paloma Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
18º
18º
50
4º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 3
RUG
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
DNB
84%
10%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 1
HAL
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HEB
8 - 2
DNB
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
VHG
17%
17%
67%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUD
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
PAL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 4
HEB
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VHG
0 - 3
PAL
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |