Scottish Championship round 4

Dundee vs Falkirk analysis

Dundee Falkirk
63 ELO 63
-6.7% Tilt -11.9%
908º General ELO ranking 802º
12º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Dundee
27.2%
Draw
27.7%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Dundee
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.7%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
+5%
+16%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Dundee
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2010
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 2
Dundee
DUN
39%
26%
35%
62 54 8 0
21 Aug. 2010
DUN
Dundee
0 - 0
Ross County FC
ROS
46%
27%
28%
62 64 2 0
14 Aug. 2010
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 0
Dundee
DUN
34%
29%
37%
63 55 8 -1
10 Aug. 2010
STE
Stenhousemuir
4 - 1
Dundee
DUN
29%
26%
44%
64 50 14 -1
07 Aug. 2010
DUN
Dundee
1 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
53%
25%
22%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2010
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
32%
27%
41%
64 55 9 0
21 Aug. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 0
Stirling Albion
STI
55%
24%
22%
63 55 8 +1
14 Aug. 2010
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
57%
23%
20%
63 65 2 0
07 Aug. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
47%
27%
26%
63 62 1 0
31 Jul. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
19%
25%
57%
63 82 19 0