Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
52
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
DFC
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 1
MOL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
DFC
0 - 0
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
DFC
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
DFC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 2
MPA
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 5
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
VER
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
0 - 1
LIO
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |