Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Oltul Curtişoara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
6º
13
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 33 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 26 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 26 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 25 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 22 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 16 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 75% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
CSO
2 - 0
DUN
34%
22%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
VCO
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
PSB
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
SRO
66%
17%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oltul Curtişoara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 0
ARG
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 0
CSO
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 1
VCO
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PSB
0 - 0
ACS
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 3
ALE
26%
26%
49%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |