Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
DUM
1 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUM
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
DUN
4 - 0
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
DUM
1 - 1
STM
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
DUM
0 - 2
ABE
23%
29%
48%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
GRE
0 - 1
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
ABE
2 - 2
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |