Dukla vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
SBR
2 - 0
DUK
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
DUK
3 - 1
NIT
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SEN
2 - 1
DUK
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DAC
1 - 1
DUK
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SBR
1 - 0
DUK
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZIL
4 - 0
DAC
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
DUB
1 - 1
ZIL
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 0
TAT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PET
0 - 4
ZIL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 0
RUZ
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |