Dro Calcio vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PON
4 - 1
DCA
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
3 - 1
CRE
21%
22%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
DCA
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 0
GRU
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
DCA
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 2
CRE
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
VBE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
3 - 0
GRU
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
VBE
9%
16%
76%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
1 - 4
REZ
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |